WxSim & NWS Forecast Temperature Comparisons
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecasts
| Updated: 03-10-10 at 6:59 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 03-10-10 |
69 |
|
78 |
41 |
|
41 |
62 |
|
65 |
40 |
|
43 |
62 |
|
58 |
39 |
|
34 |
| 03-09-10 |
73 |
74.2 |
74 |
46 |
50.3 |
47 |
69 |
|
72 |
43 |
|
39 |
62 |
|
63 |
40 |
|
43 |
| 03-08-10 |
61 |
62.8 |
58 |
47 |
51.2 |
51 |
73 |
74.2 |
73 |
44 |
50.3 |
45 |
65 |
|
69 |
40 |
|
48 |
| 03-07-10 |
61 |
58.2 |
65 |
51 |
50.3 |
54 |
63 |
62.8 |
57 |
49 |
51.2 |
53 |
74 |
74.2 |
72 |
45 |
50.3 |
47 |
| 03-06-10 |
67 |
67.0 |
71 |
50 |
55.0 |
48 |
59 |
58.2 |
59 |
49 |
50.3 |
48 |
64 |
62.8 |
55 |
49 |
51.2 |
46 |
| 03-05-10 |
65 |
69.4 |
67 |
46 |
50.6 |
44 |
64 |
67.0 |
72 |
47 |
55.0 |
47 |
57 |
58.2 |
52 |
48 |
50.3 |
48 |
| 03-04-10 |
63 |
68.1 |
65 |
44 |
49.6 |
42 |
63 |
69.4 |
70 |
47 |
50.6 |
51 |
62 |
67.0 |
61 |
49 |
55.0 |
48 |
| 03-03-10 |
60 |
59.3 |
61 |
40 |
41.8 |
35 |
64 |
68.1 |
65 |
46 |
49.6 |
40 |
63 |
69.4 |
68 |
48 |
50.6 |
55 |
| 03-02-10 |
52 |
49.0 |
57 |
32 |
32.8 |
30 |
60 |
59.3 |
62 |
38 |
41.8 |
37 |
56 |
68.1 |
67 |
42 |
49.6 |
44 |
| 03-01-10 |
47 |
49.4 |
41 |
32 |
32.3 |
32 |
56 |
49.0 |
54 |
32 |
32.8 |
31 |
59 |
59.3 |
60 |
37 |
41.8 |
39 |
| 02-28-10 |
61 |
62.5 |
69 |
40 |
41.0 |
41 |
47 |
49.4 |
43 |
31 |
32.3 |
32 |
53 |
49.0 |
52 |
30 |
32.8 |
31 |
| 02-27-10 |
59 |
62.5 |
60 |
35 |
44.7 |
33 |
58 |
62.5 |
63 |
39 |
41.0 |
41 |
46 |
49.4 |
43 |
30 |
32.3 |
29 |
| 02-26-10 |
43 |
46.6 |
44 |
35 |
30.6 |
32 |
60 |
62.5 |
59 |
37 |
44.7 |
36 |
59 |
62.5 |
59 |
40 |
41.0 |
44 |
| 02-25-10 |
52 |
55.3 |
60 |
38 |
40.4 |
43 |
43 |
46.6 |
44 |
36 |
30.6 |
31 |
57 |
62.5 |
56 |
36 |
44.7 |
37 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
5 |
|
2 |
5 |
|
4 |
4 |
|
4 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
1 |
| % Succ |
38.5 |
|
15.4 |
38.5 |
|
30.8 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
33.3 |
|
50.0 |
36.4 |
|
27.3 |
9.1 |
|
9.1 |
| Ave Error |
2.6 |
|
4.3 |
3.4 |
|
4.2 |
3.0 |
|
3.1 |
3.8 |
|
3.6 |
3.9 |
|
4.1 |
4.1 |
|
4.2 |
| Std Dev |
1.6 |
|
2.7 |
2.7 |
|
3.6 |
2.4 |
|
2.4 |
2.6 |
|
3.3 |
3.8 |
|
3.1 |
2.7 |
|
2.6 |
|
|
|
Afternoon Forecasts
| Updated: 03-10-10 at 6:59 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 03-10-10 |
41 |
|
40 |
61 |
|
57 |
38 |
|
39 |
63 |
|
58 |
39 |
|
36 |
62 |
|
58 |
| 03-09-10 |
49 |
50.3 |
47 |
71 |
69.7 |
76 |
40 |
|
42 |
63 |
|
64 |
38 |
|
41 |
61 |
|
59 |
| 03-08-10 |
45 |
51.2 |
56 |
74 |
74.2 |
72 |
45 |
50.3 |
46 |
72 |
69.7 |
73 |
41 |
|
46 |
60 |
|
66 |
| 03-07-10 |
49 |
50.3 |
49 |
64 |
62.8 |
53 |
47 |
51.2 |
49 |
73 |
74.2 |
72 |
46 |
50.3 |
45 |
62 |
69.7 |
69 |
| 03-06-10 |
49 |
55.0 |
49 |
56 |
58.2 |
53 |
48 |
50.3 |
46 |
62 |
62.8 |
56 |
48 |
51.2 |
54 |
72 |
74.2 |
71 |
| 03-05-10 |
47 |
50.6 |
46 |
66 |
67.0 |
62 |
47 |
55.0 |
46 |
58 |
58.2 |
53 |
48 |
50.3 |
47 |
60 |
62.8 |
53 |
| 03-04-10 |
45 |
49.6 |
43 |
65 |
69.4 |
63 |
46 |
50.6 |
45 |
62 |
67.0 |
67 |
49 |
55.0 |
51 |
56 |
58.2 |
56 |
| 03-03-10 |
38 |
41.8 |
33 |
62 |
68.1 |
64 |
46 |
49.6 |
39 |
63 |
69.4 |
68 |
48 |
50.6 |
51 |
63 |
67.0 |
62 |
| 03-02-10 |
33 |
32.8 |
28 |
61 |
59.3 |
60 |
40 |
41.8 |
35 |
62 |
68.1 |
65 |
45 |
49.6 |
41 |
63 |
69.4 |
70 |
| 03-01-10 |
32 |
32.3 |
32 |
52 |
49.0 |
54 |
32 |
32.8 |
28 |
60 |
59.3 |
61 |
38 |
41.8 |
42 |
56 |
68.1 |
63 |
| 02-28-10 |
40 |
41.0 |
40 |
45 |
49.4 |
42 |
32 |
32.3 |
32 |
53 |
49.0 |
53 |
33 |
32.8 |
33 |
57 |
59.3 |
59 |
| 02-27-10 |
38 |
44.7 |
34 |
61 |
62.5 |
63 |
40 |
41.0 |
42 |
47 |
49.4 |
44 |
32 |
32.3 |
28 |
52 |
49.0 |
50 |
| 02-26-10 |
34 |
30.6 |
35 |
60 |
62.5 |
60 |
38 |
44.7 |
33 |
57 |
62.5 |
62 |
40 |
41.0 |
41 |
45 |
49.4 |
45 |
| 02-25-10 |
39 |
40.4 |
40 |
41 |
46.6 |
44 |
34 |
30.6 |
32 |
55 |
62.5 |
56 |
31 |
44.7 |
34 |
49 |
62.5 |
59 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
6 |
|
4 |
6 |
|
2 |
4 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
4 |
3 |
|
4 |
0 |
|
4 |
| % Succ |
46.2 |
|
30.8 |
46.2 |
|
15.4 |
33.3 |
|
25.0 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
27.3 |
|
36.4 |
|
|
36.4 |
| Ave Error |
3.1 |
|
4.4 |
2.7 |
|
4.4 |
3.5 |
|
5.2 |
3.5 |
|
3.3 |
3.8 |
|
3.6 |
5.5 |
|
3.3 |
| Std Dev |
2.3 |
|
3.1 |
1.8 |
|
2.8 |
2.5 |
|
3.6 |
2.5 |
|
2.3 |
2.5 |
|
3.0 |
4.1 |
|
3.1 |
|
|
|